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    In baseball, how many possible outcomes can a 7 game world series have?

    +1  Views: 9641 Answers: 5 Posted: 12 years ago

    5 Answers

    In Major League Baseball, only two: Either the National League team or the American League team wins 4 out of 7 games.

    AAABBB
    AABBBA
    ABBBAA
    BBBAAA
    BBAAAB
    BAAABB
    ABBABB
    ABABAB
    BABABA
    BAABAA
    ABBABA
    BAABAB

    I'm sure there are more, but you asked the OUTCOME, and it's going to be either A or B.   Each team will win 3 (in whatever order), and the 7th game will determine the winner of the series.  That is the outcome of a 7 game series.   Had you said "Best of 7", the possibilities increase more (4 game sweep for either team, combinations of 5 games, 6 games).

    Bob/PKB

    ABBA is multi talented.

    Permutations and Combinations


    In the World Series, one National League team and one American League team compete for the title, which is awarded to the first team to win 4 games.  In how many ways can a series of seven games be completed?   (Thank you, Gerry, for helping with the answer):


    Let’s call the teams A and B.  I’ll compute the number of ways that A can win and and then double that to take B victories into account.


     


    There is 1 way to win in 4 games.


     


    For five games the fifth win must be by A and the first 4 games must have 3 wins by A and one by B.


     


    There are (5)! / ((2!*(3!)) = (120) / (2 * 6) = (120 / 12) = 10 ways for A to win in 5


     


    AAABB


    AABAB


    ABAAB


    AABBA


    AAABB


    AABAB


    BABAA


    BAAAB


    BBAAA


    BAABA


     


    So A can win in 4 ways.


     


    For 6 games, the same combinatorics apply 6! / ((3!) * (3!)) = (6 * 5 * 4) / 6 = 20 ways


     


    For 7 games the 7th game must be won by A and the other split 3-3 as in the 6 game problem.


     


    6! / 3!)) * (3!)) = 20


     


    Adding these up, A can win in 1 + 10 + 20 + 20 = 51 ways


     


    Likewise, B can also win in 51 ways


     


    Therefore your answer is :  2 * 51 = 102 ways          ç========== Answer


     


     

    civicsisedan

    The math on this is totally wrong but the approach is dead on. You can see that there's over counting taking place when you see that AAABB is included as a possible outcome when that is actually winning 3 straight and thus now double counting has happened.

    First, there is only one way to win 4 straight.
    Second, to win in 5 the last game is won by team A so 3 out of the first four need to be won by team A which is 4C3 which is 4 possible outcomes.
    Third, to win in 6 the last game is won by team A so 3 out of the 5 need to be won which is 5C3 which is 10 possible outcomes.
    Lastly, to win in 7 the last game is won by team A so 3 out of the 6 need to be won which is 6C3 which is 20 possible outcomes.
    Total possible outcomes to win for team A is
    = 1 + 4 + 10 + 20 = 35
    Due to symmetry, the same can be said for team B and therefore the total possible outcomes for a best of 7 series is 70.

    Maybe the question should be rephrased: "...if it goes to 7 games." It appears that this question is causing much confusion.

    Another way (perhaps simpler) to answer this would be the following. 

    Assume that there are exhibition games totaling 8 complete games played after the series in which the loser of the series must always win. Thus if the games went ABBABB with B winning the series, the extended version would be ABBABBAA, where A must win the last two games. This would be the case regardless of how quickly the series ended or who won the series (it could be AAAABBBB or ABABABAB).

    To calculate the amount of combinations in which either A or B will win four of those eight games, we can use a simple combination, 8C4. 

    8!/(4!)(4!) = 8*7*6*5/4*3*2*1= 70 possible combinations. 



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